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Forex Analyst Picks & Strategies for

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Ilya Spivak RSS Twitter

Currency Strategist
Ilya Spivak

My Picks: Enter Long USDCAD, Stay Short GBPUSD
Expertise: Global Macro
Average Time Frame of Trades: 1 - 6 months

I entered short GBPUSD at 1.5533. Prices have now met my second objective to test the 38.2% Fibonacci expansion at 1.5029. I will continue to hold short, looking for a daily close below this barrier to expose the 50% level at 1.4850. The stop-loss has been revised to trigger on a close above 1.5322, the May 16 swing high.

I have also triggered a long USDCAD position at 1.0323 as prices pulled back after clearing a major falling trend line connecting tops dating back to October 2011. I will initially aim for a break above the 50% Fib retracement at 1.0367. A stop-loss will be activated on a close below 1.0283, the 38.2% mark.

Trading Log

Symbol Direction Status Entry Stop Target Date Analyst
GBP/USD short ACTIVE 1.5533 close > 1.5322 below 1.5029 05/03/13 Ilya
USD/CHF long ACTIVE 0.9660 0.9715 (1/2 Closed at 0.9750 for +90) >0.9750 05/21/13 Christopher
USD/CAD long ACTIVE 1.0323 close < 1.0283 above 1.0367 05/24/13 Ilya

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Currency Central Bank Rate Overnight Rate
audaud 2.75% 2.93%
nzdnzd 2.50%
eureur 0.50% 0.02%
cadcad 1.00% 0.99%
gbpgbp 0.50% 0.48%
usdusd 0.25% 0.15%
chfchf 0.00% -0.00%
jpyjpy 0.10% 0.10%
Symbol Roll S Roll B
EUR/USD 0.0 0.0
USD/JPY 0.0 0.0
GBP/USD 0.0 0.0
USD/CHF 0.0 0.0
EUR/CHF 0.0 0.0
AUD/USD 0.0 0.0
USD/CAD 0.0 0.0
NZD/USD 0.0 0.0
EUR/GBP 0.0 0.0
EUR/JPY 0.0 0.0
GBP/JPY 0.0 0.0
CHF/JPY 0.0 0.0
Rates shown are the expected rolls in USD for holding one 10k lot today on a typical FXCM Standard account.
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